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All-time team ratings

The NFT Rating

Every international since 1872, replayed one by one. Each result moves points between the two teams, more when it's surprising, more at a World Cup than in a friendly.

Top of the rating
2,328
Spain leads the rating
Highest ever
2,328
Highest ever: Spain (2026)
Biggest upset
0.6%
Chance of the biggest upset: Luxembourg (2008)
Rated up to
2026
Rated up to 5 Oct 2026

Current ranking

Teams with a match in the last four years. Change compared with one year earlier.

#TeamRating12 monthsPeakMatches
1Spain2,328▲ +1142,328 (2026)655
2Argentina2,235▲ +692,262 (2026)897
3England2,195▲ +1412,195 (2026)768
4France2,139▲ +352,213 (2026)692
5Portugal2,099▲ +332,099 (2026)577
6Brazil2,075▲ +392,238 (2022)862
7Colombia2,058▲ +122,134 (2024)620
8Belgium2,031▲ +1492,184 (2021)607
9Switzerland2,025▲ +1192,025 (2026)623
10Netherlands2,022▲ +292,166 (2014)659
11Japan1,989▲ +162,021 (2026)619
12Morocco1,984▲ +572,024 (2022)518
13Mexico1,979▲ +92,048 (2016)868
14Germany1,950▲ +272,234 (2014)750
15Norway1,947▲ +552,021 (2026)602
16Italy1,934▲ +82,112 (2021)674
17Ecuador1,933▼ −682,013 (2026)563
18Uruguay1,926▼ −492,095 (2024)888
19Paraguay1,908±01,912 (2025)655
20Croatia1,906▼ −562,049 (2023)387
21Denmark1,890▼ −352,003 (2022)622
22Senegal1,890▲ +121,968 (2026)431
23Australia1,884▼ −251,940 (2026)493
24Austria1,883▲ +41,934 (2024)594
25USA1,869▲ +611,969 (2021)747
26Canada1,846▼ −551,965 (2022)439
27Russia1,844▲ +11,888 (2013)358
28Iran1,843▼ −431,949 (2025)539
29Greece1,838▲ +111,872 (2025)549
30Algeria1,834▲ +491,885 (2022)531

The best teams ever

Each team's highest rating, and the match in which it was reached.

Giant-killers

The wins with the smallest chance before kick-off, according to the rating (home advantage included).

DateWinnerLoserScoreChance
Luxembourg 993Switzerland 1,7792–10.6%
Luxembourg 1,033Czechia 1,8061–02.0%
Faroe Islands 1,185Greece 1,7411–02.3%
Luxembourg 953Belarus 1,5011–02.3%
Georgia 1,489Spain 2,0261–02.5%
US Virgin Islands 921Marshall Islands 1,5004–03.4%
Bulgaria 1,601Netherlands 2,0702–13.6%
Iceland 1,575England 2,0401–03.7%
Northern Ireland 1,257Scotland 1,7182–03.8%
Malta 1,204Ukraine 1,7601–03.9%

How it works

  1. Expectation Before every match the rating difference gives each side an expected result. 400 points more means a 10:1 favourite; the team playing in its own country gets 100 points extra.

  2. Surprise After the match, points move from the loser to the winner: the more surprising the result, the more points. A draw after a penalty shootout counts as a draw.

  3. Weight World Cup matches count three times as much as friendlies, continental finals 2.5 times, qualifiers twice. Wins by two goals or more count extra. Successor states such as Russia continue with the rating of their predecessor.